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Red55
569017.6
460732.5
882110.5
Blue60
957623.7
331313.2
389110.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765102040601001201405560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.2
35.834.6
Auto11.7
Teleop16.2
End4.7
red by 8.9
23.70.4
22.522.9
Auto11.0
Teleop12.8
End-0.1
Second
17.61.2
19.518.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End1.9
red by 4.5
3313
#12
13.20.4
13.513.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Third
8821
#18
10.51.5
10.89.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 0.1
3891
#24
10.60.5
12.713.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed