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Red51
253122.1
485913.6
882110.5
Blue35
5541-1.1
298720.0
305815.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523702060801005135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.4
22.823.2
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End1.2
red by 2.1
2987
#30
20.00.4
21.120.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.1
Second
4859
#14
13.60.4
12.212.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End1.1
blue by 1.5
3058
#21
15.20.4
14.814.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Third
8821
#18
10.50.4
10.010.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.4
red by 11.6
5541
#28
-1.10.4
-0.6-1.0
Auto-0.8
Teleop-0.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed