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Red61
284718.0
472828.7
419813.7
Blue51
282324.2
340710.8
254912.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744702040601001206151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.9
29.828.9
Auto10.8
Teleop15.1
End2.8
red by 4.5
2823
#10
24.20.0
24.324.3
Auto10.8
Teleop12.3
End1.1
Second
2847
#13
18.00.9
19.919.0
Auto8.4
Teleop6.4
End3.2
red by 5.8
2549
#11
12.30.0
11.611.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Third
4198
#17
13.70.9
14.513.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.6
End1.4
red by 2.8
3407
#23
10.80.0
10.110.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsEarned2%Ensemble oddsMissed