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Red65
181623.3
284613.3
569017.6
Blue64
284718.0
247215.1
253122.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586502040801001206564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.5
23.123.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End0.1
red by 1.3
22.10.9
23.222.2
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End1.2
Second
17.60.5
17.317.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End1.9
blue by 0.4
2847
#13
18.00.9
19.018.0
Auto8.4
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Third
2846
#15
13.30.5
12.813.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End0.8
blue by 1.9
2472
#19
15.10.9
16.115.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsEarned