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Red36
388316.2
38489.3
331313.2
Blue29
266711.1
310012.0
423912.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474001020305060703629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#16
16.20.5
17.917.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End2.4
red by 4.1
4239
#36
12.20.5
12.712.2
Auto6.2
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Second
3313
#12
13.20.5
13.613.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.3
red by 1.2
3100
#33
12.00.5
12.512.0
Auto6.3
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Third
3848
#29
9.30.5
9.89.3
Auto1.8
Teleop6.8
End0.7
blue by 1.8
2667
#22
11.10.5
11.611.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed