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Red42
22276.6
882110.5
318421.9
Blue39
42078.9
340710.8
85168.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47260204060804239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.2
22.923.1
Auto10.3
Teleop8.3
End3.3
red by 11.1
3407
#23
10.80.7
10.110.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Second
8821
#18
10.50.2
10.410.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.4
red by 1.7
4207
#35
8.90.7
8.28.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Third
2227
#34
6.60.2
6.46.6
Auto4.2
Teleop1.6
End0.7
blue by 2.0
8.50.7
7.88.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed