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Red103
472835.4
670920.9
460737.9
Blue104
327633.2
706819.8
702832.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10591406080120140160103104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.2
37.537.7
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End5.0
red by 4.7
33.20.5
32.633.0
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End4.8
Second
35.40.2
35.035.3
Auto12.2
Teleop21.0
End2.2
red by 3.1
32.40.5
31.832.2
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End-0.3
Third
6709
#15
20.90.2
20.520.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End1.7
red by 1.1
7068
#16
19.80.5
19.219.6
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.3