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Red92
702832.4
706819.8
327633.2
Blue53
617521.2
534820.1
957623.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95690204060801201401609253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.2
32.432.6
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End4.8
red by 9.7
9576
#13
23.50.3
23.823.5
Auto11.2
Teleop11.9
End0.4
Second
32.40.2
31.631.8
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End-0.3
red by 11.1
21.20.3
21.521.2
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End0.8
Third
7068
#16
19.80.2
19.019.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.3
blue by 0.3
20.10.3
20.420.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.8