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Red50
706819.8
85168.9
617521.2
Blue72
460737.9
423915.8
422612.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59780501001505072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.7
22.822.1
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End0.8
blue by 16.7
37.90.0
34.034.0
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End5.0
Second
7068
#16
19.80.7
21.220.5
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.3
red by 4.0
4239
#14
15.80.0
19.019.0
Auto7.2
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Third
8516
#25
8.90.7
11.811.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
blue by 3.9
4226
#22
12.80.0
15.015.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed