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Red32
327633.2
75307.1
46938.7
Blue78
331312.3
702832.4
957623.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60760501001503278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.8
38.236.4
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End4.8
red by 0.8
32.40.1
32.332.4
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End-0.3
Second
8.71.8
10.58.8
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End1.1
blue by 14.7
9576
#13
23.50.1
21.321.3
Auto11.2
Teleop11.9
End0.4
Third
7530
#19
7.12.0
7.85.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.7
End0.8
blue by 5.3
3313
#20
12.30.1
13.513.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed