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Red48
563819.8
785814.3
662810.4
Blue52
327633.2
670920.9
305814.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41890501001504852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5638
#10
19.80.4
18.719.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.8
blue by 13.4
33.22.2
36.434.2
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End4.8
Second
7858
#17
14.30.4
14.815.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 6.6
6709
#15
20.92.2
21.018.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Third
10.40.4
8.99.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End0.7
blue by 3.7
3058
#11
14.12.2
17.115.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned