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Red49
534820.1
957623.5
42384.8
Blue81
472835.4
604514.5
706819.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508002040601001201404981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9576
#13
23.50.0
21.321.3
Auto11.2
Teleop11.9
End0.4
blue by 11.9
35.40.7
32.032.7
Auto12.2
Teleop21.0
End2.2
Second
20.10.0
20.820.8
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.8
red by 0.3
7068
#16
19.80.7
20.521.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.3
Third
4238
#24
4.80.0
6.86.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End1.0
blue by 9.7
6045
#12
14.50.7
16.216.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed