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Red37
617521.2
46323.6
302316.7
Blue57
534820.1
662810.4
327633.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4575020601001201401603757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.6
22.121.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End0.8
blue by 12.0
33.20.5
34.233.7
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End4.8
Second
3023
#18
16.70.6
18.417.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 3.4
20.10.5
20.820.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Third
4632
#23
3.60.6
3.93.2
Auto0.9
Teleop3.1
End-0.4
blue by 6.8
10.40.5
9.38.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned