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Red53
702832.4
604514.5
302611.4
Blue72
46938.7
460737.9
563819.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6967505560657580855372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.41.1
32.431.3
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End-0.3
blue by 5.5
37.90.7
34.034.8
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End5.0
Second
6045
#12
14.51.1
16.915.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 5.3
5638
#10
19.80.7
18.018.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Third
3026
#21
11.41.1
12.811.7
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End1.5
red by 2.7
8.70.7
8.89.5
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned