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Red57
785814.3
670920.9
957623.5
Blue75
82349.3
617521.2
702832.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596701001502005775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9576
#13
23.50.2
21.321.5
Auto11.2
Teleop11.9
End0.4
blue by 8.9
32.40.4
31.331.7
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End-0.3
Second
6709
#15
20.90.2
18.218.4
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End1.7
blue by 0.3
21.20.4
21.421.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End0.8
Third
7858
#17
14.30.2
15.015.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End0.9
red by 4.9
9.30.4
6.87.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed