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Red39
85168.9
422612.8
327633.2
Blue49
305814.1
46938.7
534820.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684602060801001201403949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.3
33.732.4
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End4.8
red by 13.1
20.10.2
20.320.5
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Second
4226
#22
12.81.3
14.813.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.9
blue by 1.3
3058
#11
14.10.2
14.714.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.1
End2.3
Third
8516
#25
8.91.3
10.49.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
red by 0.2
8.70.2
9.59.7
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsEarned