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Red43
706819.8
422612.8
46938.7
Blue60
670920.9
563819.8
46323.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474301020306070804360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7068
#16
19.80.6
19.418.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.3
blue by 1.1
6709
#15
20.91.0
18.419.4
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Second
4226
#22
12.80.6
13.412.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.9
blue by 7.0
5638
#10
19.81.0
18.819.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Third
8.70.6
9.79.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End1.1
red by 5.1
4632
#23
3.61.0
2.63.6
Auto0.9
Teleop3.1
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed