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Red65
331312.3
460737.9
604514.5
Blue71
82349.3
957623.5
662810.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7536020601001201401606571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.1
36.336.4
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End5.0
red by 14.4
9576
#13
23.52.3
21.523.8
Auto11.2
Teleop11.9
End0.4
Second
6045
#12
14.50.1
14.915.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
red by 4.1
10.42.3
8.110.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End0.7
Third
3313
#20
12.30.1
12.212.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.1
red by 3.0
9.32.3
7.29.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed