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Red65
206220.5
478623.5
298717.4
Blue37
216911.5
614728.6
761912.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53391020306070806537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#12
23.50.1
16.116.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
blue by 5.0
28.60.0
8.88.8
Auto13.7
Teleop7.2
End7.7
Second
20.50.1
12.812.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End0.5
red by 7.6
7619
#40
12.90.0
13.113.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Third
17.40.1
17.217.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End1.0
red by 5.9
2169
#50
11.50.0
15.315.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed