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Red29
880310.7
591315.6
42298.5
Blue28
75309.2
310019.5
675811.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38411020305060702928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.9
17.216.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End2.3
blue by 3.9
3100
#25
19.51.9
12.210.3
Auto8.8
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Second
8803
#31
10.70.9
9.78.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End2.7
blue by 0.4
6758
#49
11.11.9
11.29.4
Auto1.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Third
4229
#32
8.50.9
10.09.1
Auto5.6
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 0.7
7530
#37
9.21.9
11.29.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed