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Red50
308213.4
284612.4
87003.9
Blue13
72737.1
761912.9
41824.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42341020305060705013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3082
#22
13.40.9
10.911.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End1.1
red by 0.5
7619
#40
12.92.0
13.111.0
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Second
2846
#20
12.40.9
15.816.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.2
red by 5.3
7273
#48
7.12.0
9.27.2
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End2.0
Third
8700
#43
3.90.9
10.411.2
Auto0.0
Teleop1.8
End2.1
blue by 0.8
4182
#53
4.72.0
9.17.0
Auto1.8
Teleop2.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed