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Red37
222713.8
423027.9
179219.7
Blue40
478623.5
641910.9
75309.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44372030405060703740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.2
10.210.0
Auto7.9
Teleop17.3
End2.7
red by 4.4
4786
#12
23.50.1
17.217.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
1792
#18Sur
19.70.2
17.717.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End1.5
red by 8.8
6419
#45Sur
10.90.1
9.69.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Third
2227
#39
13.80.2
11.010.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End2.9
red by 4.6
7530
#37
9.20.1
7.87.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed