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Red16
87003.9
761912.9
321211.5
Blue52
341815.3
675811.1
320622.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28480204060801652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7619
#40
12.91.3
11.09.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
blue by 9.6
3206
#21
22.51.2
16.818.1
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
Second
3212
#42
11.51.3
5.84.4
Auto6.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
blue by 3.8
3418
#33
15.31.2
13.314.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Third
8700
#43Sur
3.91.3
11.29.9
Auto0.0
Teleop1.8
End2.1
blue by 7.2
6758
#49
11.11.2
10.712.0
Auto1.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed