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Red31
226420.2
302316.6
17166.2
Blue42
470315.2
247217.8
212925.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36411020305060703142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#23
20.20.9
17.917.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.4
blue by 5.4
2129
#13
25.70.0
13.313.3
Auto9.2
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Second
3023
#14
16.60.9
8.27.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
blue by 1.2
17.80.0
11.811.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Third
1716
#47
6.20.9
6.75.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End1.7
blue by 9.0
4703
#24
15.20.0
11.711.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed