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Red20
527516.6
216911.5
657410.0
Blue45
308213.4
249124.7
217513.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39440102030506070802045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5275
#28
16.62.6
10.07.5
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.6
blue by 8.1
24.70.6
16.617.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End3.3
Second
2169
#50
11.52.6
14.111.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
blue by 2.4
2175
#35
13.90.6
10.911.6
Auto8.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Third
6574
#55
10.02.6
11.99.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End1.5
blue by 3.5
3082
#22
13.40.6
11.812.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed