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Red33
761912.9
657410.0
251210.1
Blue39
41824.7
226420.2
222713.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3241010205060703339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7619
#40
12.90.3
9.710.0
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
blue by 7.3
2264
#23
20.20.3
17.016.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.4
Second
2512
#34
10.10.3
11.411.7
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
blue by 3.7
2227
#39
13.80.3
10.810.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Third
6574
#55
10.00.3
9.49.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End1.5
red by 5.2
4182
#53
4.70.3
8.78.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed