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Red4
613210.0
87003.9
41666.3
Blue9
53395.9
75309.2
60473.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26251020304049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6132
#51
10.02.2
6.64.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
red by 0.8
7530
#37
9.21.6
7.86.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.3
Second
4166
#46
6.32.2
7.35.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
red by 0.4
5339
#44
5.91.6
10.18.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Third
8700
#43
3.92.2
9.97.7
Auto0.0
Teleop1.8
End2.1
red by 0.2
6047
#52
3.61.6
5.13.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed