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Red39
257415.8
250117.1
641910.9
Blue59
247217.8
52718.7
171424.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3540203050603959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2501
#10
17.10.7
12.413.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End2.9
blue by 7.1
24.22.6
14.917.6
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End1.2
Second
2574
#15
15.80.7
10.311.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.8
End2.7
blue by 2.0
17.82.6
11.814.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Third
6419
#45
10.90.7
9.710.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
red by 2.3
5271
#38
8.72.6
8.511.1
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed