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Red46
298717.4
179219.7
46238.6
Blue8
523218.9
42298.5
17166.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5227020406080468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1792
#18
19.70.2
17.517.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End1.5
red by 0.8
5232
#17
18.92.2
12.710.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Second
17.40.2
16.416.6
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End1.0
red by 8.9
4229
#32
8.52.2
9.16.9
Auto5.6
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Third
4623
#36
8.60.2
10.310.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End2.0
red by 2.4
1716
#47
6.22.2
5.93.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed