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Red38
572015.4
72737.1
527516.6
Blue68
614728.6
880310.7
329718.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29380102050603868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5275
#28
16.61.2
7.58.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.6
blue by 12.0
28.63.6
13.216.9
Auto13.7
Teleop7.2
End7.7
Second
5720
#26
15.41.2
14.615.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 3.4
18.93.6
11.815.4
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End4.9
Third
7273
#48
7.11.2
5.56.7
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End2.0
blue by 3.6
8803
#31
10.73.6
8.412.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned