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Red21
18069.7
285515.7
206220.5
Blue47
675811.1
313019.0
87003.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453602060802147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.52.1
16.514.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End0.5
red by 1.5
3130
#29
19.00.1
14.114.2
Auto9.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Second
2855
#16
15.72.1
12.110.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End0.1
red by 4.6
6758
#49
11.10.1
12.012.1
Auto1.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Third
1806
#54
9.72.1
11.39.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End-0.0
red by 5.8
8700
#43
3.90.1
7.77.9
Auto0.0
Teleop1.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed