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Red57
226420.2
203915.6
470315.2
Blue47
613210.0
478623.5
72737.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4634010203040506070805747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#23
20.21.8
17.018.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.4
blue by 3.3
4786
#12
23.51.6
20.522.1
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
2039
#30
15.61.8
11.613.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End1.9
red by 5.6
6132
#51
10.01.6
5.97.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Third
4703
#24
15.21.8
11.913.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.3
End2.6
red by 8.1
7273
#48
7.11.6
5.87.4
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed