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Red67
206220.5
321211.5
812222.6
Blue48
179219.7
75309.2
250117.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36421020305060706748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#11
22.62.6
14.016.6
Auto11.1
Teleop9.3
End2.1
red by 2.9
1792
#18
19.70.7
17.718.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Second
20.52.6
14.417.0
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End0.5
red by 3.4
2501
#10
17.10.7
13.113.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Third
3212
#42
11.52.6
5.27.8
Auto6.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
red by 2.3
7530
#37
9.20.7
6.36.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed