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Red52
46238.6
257415.8
320622.5
Blue50
527516.6
313019.0
18069.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46340102030405060705250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#21
22.51.3
18.519.8
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
red by 3.5
3130
#29
19.02.0
14.216.2
Auto9.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Second
2574
#15
15.81.3
11.012.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.8
End2.7
blue by 0.8
5275
#28
16.62.0
8.610.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.6
Third
4623
#36
8.61.3
10.511.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 1.1
1806
#54DQ
9.72.0
9.211.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed