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Red59
42298.5
604519.4
247217.8
Blue25
329718.9
341815.3
41824.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060801005925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#19
19.42.2
17.920.1
Auto9.4
Teleop7.8
End2.3
red by 0.6
18.91.5
15.413.9
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End4.9
Second
17.82.2
14.516.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.8
red by 2.5
3418
#33
15.31.5
14.613.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Third
4229
#32
8.52.2
6.99.1
Auto5.6
Teleop1.9
End1.0
red by 3.8
4182
#53
4.71.5
8.46.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed