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Red36
217513.9
572015.4
52718.7
Blue44
761912.9
591315.6
212925.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424420305060703644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5720
#26
15.40.3
15.815.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 10.3
2129
#13
25.70.6
16.216.7
Auto9.2
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Second
2175
#35
13.90.3
12.011.6
Auto8.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 1.7
15.60.6
12.613.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Third
5271
#38
8.70.3
11.110.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 4.2
7619
#40
12.90.6
10.010.6
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed