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Qual 472024 Northern Lights Regional
Red80
388317.6
308213.4
423027.9
Blue47
613210.0
206220.5
179219.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53432060801008047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#3
27.92.6
17.8→20.4
Auto7.9
Teleop17.3
End2.7
red by 7.4
2062
#7
20.50.8
17.0→17.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End0.5
Second
3883
#27
17.62.6
15.5→18.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 2.0
1792
#18
19.70.8
18.4→19.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Third
3082
#22
13.42.6
13.1→15.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End1.1
red by 3.5
6132
#51
10.00.8
4.4→5.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed