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Red28
41824.7
641910.9
46238.6
Blue70
591315.6
478623.5
341815.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305001020406070802870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6419
#45
10.90.2
10.810.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 12.6
4786
#12
23.51.4
16.517.8
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
4623
#36
8.60.2
11.811.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 7.0
15.61.4
13.214.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Third
4182
#53
4.70.2
6.96.7
Auto1.8
Teleop2.4
End0.5
blue by 10.6
3418
#33
15.31.4
13.114.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed