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Red59
249124.7
222713.8
761912.9
Blue56
17166.2
285515.7
321211.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511904060805956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.8
20.922.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End3.3
red by 9.0
2855
#16
15.73.9
10.013.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End0.1
Second
2227
#39
13.81.8
11.012.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End2.9
red by 2.3
3212
#42
11.53.9
7.811.7
Auto6.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
Third
7619
#40
12.91.8
10.612.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
red by 6.7
1716
#47
6.23.9
3.17.0
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed