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Red43
302316.6
251210.1
572015.4
Blue39
604519.4
87003.9
298717.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415220306070804339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3023
#14
16.60.1
13.613.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
blue by 2.8
6045
#19
19.40.8
20.119.3
Auto9.4
Teleop7.8
End2.3
Second
5720
#26
15.40.1
15.515.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 2.0
17.40.8
18.217.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End1.0
Third
2512
#34
10.10.1
9.79.6
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
red by 6.2
8700
#43
3.90.8
7.97.1
Auto0.0
Teleop1.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed