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Red58
75309.2
329718.9
257415.8
Blue13
52718.7
675811.1
203915.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364102060801001201405813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.91.6
13.915.6
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End4.9
red by 3.3
2039
#30
15.62.6
14.311.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Second
2574
#15
15.81.6
12.414.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.8
End2.7
red by 4.7
6758
#49
11.12.6
11.58.9
Auto1.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Third
7530
#37
9.21.6
6.98.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.3
red by 0.5
5271
#38
8.72.6
10.88.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed