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Red52
313019.0
247217.8
41666.3
Blue61
217513.9
614728.6
310019.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46472030405060705261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#29
19.00.5
16.215.7
Auto9.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 9.6
28.62.1
18.420.5
Auto13.7
Teleop7.2
End7.7
Second
17.80.5
16.716.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.8
blue by 1.7
3100
#25
19.52.1
12.414.5
Auto8.8
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Third
4166
#46
6.30.5
8.68.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 7.6
2175
#35
13.92.1
11.613.7
Auto8.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed