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Red80
478623.5
320622.5
523218.9
Blue33
657410.0
613210.0
284612.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6224040801008033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#12
23.52.6
17.820.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 11.1
2846
#20
12.40.8
12.313.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Second
3206
#21
22.52.6
19.121.7
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
red by 12.5
6574
#55
10.00.8
8.89.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End1.5
Third
5232
#17
18.92.6
14.417.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End4.8
red by 8.9
6132
#51
10.00.8
5.25.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed