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Red39
42298.5
572015.4
226420.2
Blue48
53395.9
171424.2
641910.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464502060801001203948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#23
20.20.3
17.317.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.4
blue by 4.0
24.20.8
21.822.6
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End1.2
Second
5720
#26
15.40.3
15.415.1
Auto6.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
red by 4.5
6419
#45
10.90.8
10.711.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Third
4229
#32
8.50.3
8.98.6
Auto5.6
Teleop1.9
End1.0
red by 2.6
5339
#44
5.90.8
8.49.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed