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Red70
212925.7
249124.7
604519.4
Blue60
388317.6
75309.2
614728.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6750204060801007060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#13
25.71.2
16.718.0
Auto9.2
Teleop13.8
End2.7
blue by 2.9
28.61.4
20.521.9
Auto13.7
Teleop7.2
End7.7
Second
24.71.2
22.824.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End3.3
red by 7.1
3883
#27
17.61.4
18.219.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Third
6045
#19
19.41.2
19.320.6
Auto9.4
Teleop7.8
End2.3
red by 10.2
7530
#37
9.21.4
8.610.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed