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Red39
216911.5
302316.6
217513.9
Blue37
41824.7
675811.1
179219.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453702060803937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3023
#14
16.60.1
13.513.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
blue by 3.1
1792
#18
19.70.2
19.219.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Second
2175
#35
13.90.1
13.713.6
Auto8.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
red by 2.8
6758
#49
11.10.2
8.99.1
Auto1.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Third
2169
#50
11.50.1
12.912.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
red by 6.8
4182
#53
4.70.2
6.77.0
Auto1.8
Teleop2.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed