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Red50
604519.4
206220.5
72737.1
Blue44
222713.8
320622.5
42298.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5247304060705044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.4
18.118.5
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End0.5
blue by 2.0
3206
#21
22.50.1
21.721.8
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
Second
6045
#19
19.40.4
20.621.0
Auto9.4
Teleop7.8
End2.3
red by 5.6
2227
#39
13.80.1
12.812.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Third
7273
#48
7.10.4
7.47.9
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End2.0
blue by 1.4
4229
#32
8.50.1
8.68.7
Auto5.6
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed