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Red28
675811.1
216911.5
60447.8
Blue39
523218.9
572015.4
250117.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315602040801002839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#50
11.50.4
12.812.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
blue by 7.4
5232
#17
18.90.9
17.016.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Second
6758
#49
11.10.4
9.18.8
Auto1.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
blue by 6.0
2501
#10
17.10.9
16.015.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Third
6044
#41
7.80.4
9.59.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.7
End1.2
blue by 7.7
5720
#26
15.40.9
15.114.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned