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Red36
18069.7
341815.3
75309.2
Blue58
284612.4
226420.2
217513.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37521020306070803658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3418
#33
15.30.1
14.114.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End2.8
blue by 4.9
2264
#23
20.20.8
18.819.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.4
Second
1806
#54
9.70.1
10.911.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End-0.0
blue by 4.2
2175
#35
13.90.8
13.614.4
Auto8.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Third
7530
#37
9.20.1
10.010.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.3
blue by 3.2
2846
#20
12.40.8
13.013.9
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed