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Red48
641910.9
179219.7
527516.6
Blue52
761912.9
203915.6
613210.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543602060801004852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1792
#18
19.70.4
19.419.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End1.5
red by 4.1
2039
#30
15.61.8
13.915.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Second
5275
#28
16.60.4
15.815.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.6
red by 3.7
7619
#40
12.91.8
13.415.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Third
6419
#45
10.90.4
11.511.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
red by 1.0
6132
#51
10.01.8
7.69.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed